The conspicuous absence of China’s President Xi Jinping from the G20 Summit in 2023 has raised eyebrows and led to speculations about the underlying reasons. This article delves into the multifaceted dynamics that may have prompted this decision and the ripple effects it could generate.
Escalating Tensions in the Himalayas
One pivotal factor contributing to President Xi’s absence is the escalating tensions between India and China along their disputed Himalayan border. These tensions have added another layer of complexity to an already intricate geopolitical landscape.
Strengthening Defence Ties: India and the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue
India’s efforts to bolster its defence alliances have not gone unnoticed. By joining the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad) alongside Japan, Australia, and the United States, India has signaled its commitment to countering China’s expanding influence. This development further strains Sino-Indian relations.
India’s Contemplation of Hypothetical Scenarios
Under Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s leadership, India has embarked on a meticulous examination of potential responses to a hypothetical Chinese invasion of Taiwan. High-ranking Indian government officials are actively involved in these deliberations.
Assessing Broader Impacts
In a proactive move, Defence Chief General Anil Chauhan initiated a study approximately six weeks ago. The study’s primary objective is to assess the broader implications of a Taiwan conflict involving the United States and its allies. Additionally, it aims to outline potential courses of action that India might undertake in such a scenario.
Evaluating Response Strategies
The study encompasses a comprehensive evaluation of various war scenarios, presenting India with a spectrum of response options. While some Indian military leaders suggest that strong statements may suffice in the event of a brief conflict, they acknowledge the necessity of more substantial action should the conflict endure, drawing parallels with Russia’s prolonged war in Ukraine.
President Xi’s decision to skip the G20 Summit reverberates across diplomatic circles and leaves room for interpretation. The evolving dynamics between India and China, coupled with India’s strategic calculations regarding Taiwan, add layers of complexity to an already intricate geopolitical puzzle. This article unravels the threads of this complex narrative to shed light on the implications of President Xi’s absence from this mega-event.
